5min chapter

The Macro Trading Floor cover image

Are Markets Really Priced For A Recession? | John Normand

The Macro Trading Floor

CHAPTER

Is Q1 or H2 the Awkward One?

A record spread inversion between late 23 and late 24 in overnight Index swaps both in dollars and euros. A big cutting cycle will commence towards the latter parts of this year At least to an extent that we've never seen before in history of central bank pricing. What's your thoughts around that when it comes to asset allocation into the second half of the year? To me that's a risk signal for the 60-40 portfolio again.

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