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Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) - Scaling, Alignment, & AI Progress
Dwarkesh Podcast
The Future of Artificial Intelligence
I think that basic logic seems likely to me, although I have a suspicion that when we actually go into the details, it's gonna be kind of like weird and different than we expect. So in terms of someone looks at the model, and even if you talk to it for an hour or so, it's basically like a generally well-educated human. That could be not very far away at all, I think. Like that could happen in two or three years. It may not be the threshold where the models can take over most AI research. In fact, I suspect it's not quite there yet.
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