2min chapter

The Compound and Friends cover image

The Texas Hedge

The Compound and Friends

CHAPTER

Do You Think the Fed Will Increase Rates?

The three year fed from futures, 36 months, has come down about 50 beps a little bit. It's really goingto be hard to get the tenure at four % this cycle, or five%. I don't believe it's possible to get above 3% given how much money is just waiting. But i still think the base case is higher ad we go back to 20 20, full year 22 earnings.

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