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In The Foothills Of A Pandemic - Yaneer Bar-Yam

The Joe Walker Podcast

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The Risks of Increased Global Transportation in a Pandemic

One approach to thinking about the likely spread of this virus, as well as its consequences, is to look to historical base rates. What are the problems with the base rate approach? So I don't know that any of the prior cases are sufficiently similar to this one. And the main reason, the main reason is just global connectivity.

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