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In The Foothills Of A Pandemic - Yaneer Bar-Yam
The Joe Walker Podcast
The Risks of Increased Global Transportation in a Pandemic
One approach to thinking about the likely spread of this virus, as well as its consequences, is to look to historical base rates. What are the problems with the base rate approach? So I don't know that any of the prior cases are sufficiently similar to this one. And the main reason, the main reason is just global connectivity.
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