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013-Don't guess! Plan your project with SCIENCE using Monte Carlo analysis

Project Management Happy Hour

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Is There a Value in Modeling Gold Prices?

In our industry, the variable that is usually the most important for project economics is gold price. You must be careful when you model gold prices because gold prices are actually a time series. Time series are numbers that follow each other in time. So if you model that with not decadal, you've got to be careful not to have it completely random. Let's see having a gold price of $1,200 in 2017, jumping to $2,000 in 2018, back to $1,000 in 2019Because that's not realistic. So you need to massage the model and the software allows you to do that to make sure that it's smooth. This does seem like something that could

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