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What we really mean when we say that something will "probably" happen (with Walt Hickey)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

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Understanding Probability and Communication

This chapter explores the complexities of language related to probability and how it can lead to misunderstandings in data interpretation. The speakers emphasize the need for clarity in conveying statistical information, referencing historical examples of miscommunication and the subjective nature of probability assessments. They also examine the reliability of weather forecasting as a case study in conveying probabilistic information effectively.

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