3min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

No Clear Sign Of Recession Yet, Says Nick Reece

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

The Fed's Troubles With Forward Guidance

The average inflation targeting regime that they announced, I think they expected inflation to run a lot lower than it has. And then of course, as it really accelerated, then it becomes a question of, well, you're running a so far above target. So this inflation will be transitory. It's just a question of how many months, how many years. But if you think about inflation from the demand perspective, I look at this primarily as a pretty much a one off, high marginal propensity to consume fiscal helicopter drop.

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