2min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

Polls Haven't Been This Accurate Since At Least 1998

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

How Did It Come to That Conclusion?

In practice, it means the polls were really freaking good in 2022 and 2021. And how did it come to that conclusion, really? So basically, we have three different ways of measuring pollster accuracy here at 538; our preferred is pollster error. We look at virtually all polls that are conducted within the three weeks before an election.

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