Don't expect extreme weather to spur climate policy change
The Science of Politics
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The Relationship Between Extreme Weather Events and Climate Policy
There could be all kinds of ways that this causal path breaks down. Maybe extreme weather events aren't enough of a focusing event or trigger to actually get this kind of mobilization, maybe there's an effect on public opinion but it's too hard to sustain any kind of mobilization around extreme weather events for long enough to affect policy. Or you could see counter mobilization, you know, anti-climate action groups kind of weaponizing extreme weather events to ramp up their efforts to lobby politicians to suppress climate action. But again, we didn't find any evidence that there's differences between rich and poor countries in the effects.
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