How to Optimize for the Future

I think it's harder first. I mean yes it does matter and I do like the change away from currency to lives but I also kind of wonder how the hell could that possibly happen. So in the post he says yes Virginia you really should try to multiply the utility outcomes by their probability. You really should. Don't be embarrassed to use clean math. If you are actually working to optimize something this matters be coherent. Oftentimes we're not optimizing and that's fine. But if you have a goal something you're trying to accomplish a preference reversal reveals a big problem. At least one of the choices you're making must not be working to actually optimize for the future in any coherent