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The Russo-Ukrainian War and the Illegal Arms Trade
The notion that any day now, any day, the West will collapse. It's obviously a very encouraging one for Putin and his clique. And it also is a recipe for policy inertia. You have nothing else really that you could offer beyond surrender or massive escalation. So this is one of the many reasons why at the moment, I think the Russians just digging in. They will do everything they can to hold on.