4min chapter

Robinson's Podcast cover image

110 - Daniel Kahneman: Biases and Flaws in Human Judgment

Robinson's Podcast

CHAPTER

Noise and the Complexity of the World

The ability to predict the world is limited by unavoidable unpredictability and the unpredictable. When you come to error, there are just two types of errors: There is noise, and there is bias. In a study with 208 federal judges that studied them many years ago, they were shown vignettes of crimes; everybody got the same 16 problems but said 16 sentences. To give you a sense of the variability, in cases for which the average sentence was seven years, you would take two judges at random, and the difference between them could be almost four years. But it's not an error because that is in the world.

00:00

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode