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6min chapter
Nobody Wins in Ukraine
Power Problems
The Biden Administration's Thinking About the Risks of Escalation
Christopher Lane: If we can't move to negotiate peace, I guess policymakers are largely left with managing the risks of escalation. How far can we go in giving Ukraine more advanced weaponry before we hit a Russian red line that provokes Russian escalation? The Russians have not escalated to the best of our knowledge to this point; so it appears acquiesced in most of these decisions by the US and NATO to give more advanced weapons to Ukraine. But nobody knows how far that can go before we do, in fact, hit a Russianred line.
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