Macro events driving volatility

Markets wobble as gold and silver hit all time highs, raising the big question of what comes next for crypto. Ryan and David unpack the macro shock driving the move, from Fed independence and shutdown risk to a weaker dollar narrative, and why Tether is quietly becoming one of the world’s largest gold holders. They make the case for Ethereum’s comeback, from surging usage to serious quantum resistance efforts, break down Fidelity’s new onchain dollar, and dig into MegaETH’s eye popping stress test. Plus: prediction markets go mainstream, a bizarre $40 million government crypto theft, and a new Vitalik meme to close it out.

---

📣KRAKEN | DEFI EARN
https://bankless.cc/Kraken

---

BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS:

🔮POLYMARKET | #1 PREDICTION MARKET

https://bankless.cc/polymarket-podcast

⚡EUPHORIA | REAL-TIME ONE-TAP TRADING

https://bankless.cc/euphoria

🏅BITGET TRADFI | TRADE GOLD WITH USDT

https://bankless.cc/bitget

👑BANKLESS PREMIUM | AD-FREE & BONUS EPISODES

https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium

🎯THE DEFI REPORT | ONCHAIN INSIGHTS

https://bankless.cc/TDR-pro

💰ICO WATCH | UPCOMING PUBLIC TOKEN SALES

https://bankless.cc/ico-watch

---

TIMESTAMPS & RESOURCES

0:00 Intro

3:22 Markets

https://x.com/Vivek4real_/status/2014721850937380963

https://imgur.com/vumkykb

https://x.com/longstcc/status/2016429742904508789

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/28/fed-meeting-today-live-updates.html

https://polymarket.com/event/lisa-cook-out-as-fed-governor-by-september-30/?via=bankless

https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/?via=bankless.

https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31/?via=bankless

16:25 Gold & Silver All-Time Highs

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/1RYLG2gC/?symbol=TVC:GOLD

https://companiesmarketcap.com/assets-by-market-cap

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2016890828925313192

https://x.com/philippilk/status/2016089604588290348

https://x.com/historydefined/status/2016360674058760269

https://x.com/fintechfrank/status/2015596117195444375

https://x.com/DegenerateNews/status/2016870767426707457

https://thedefireport.io/research/why-is-bitcoin-underperforming-gold

28:11 Dollar Reserve Currency Discussion & Tether Gold Reserves

https://x.com/FluentInFinance/status/2015424544333328808

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2016259771616444454

https://x.com/barkmeta/status/2016351131727770107

https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/2016307227158601780

https://cryptonews.com/news/tether-quietly-becomes-one-of-the-biggest-global-gold-market-players-holds-140-tons-of-gold

33:15 Ethereum Usage Scaling & Ethereum Quantum Resistance & ETH Bull Case

https://x.com/JasonYanowitz/status/2016128371755811109

https://x.com/riley_gmi/status/2016193883764371469

https://sergeenkov.com/record-high-activity-ethereum-2026

https://x.com/drakefjustin/status/2014791629408784816

https://x.com/VivekVentures/status/2015510724244611168

https://x.com/LorenzoARK/status/2015594553579868566

43:47 Fidelity Digital Dollar

https://x.com/DegenerateNews/status/2016505433322635443

https://x.com/sytaylor/status/2016569801678704807

45:40 Tether Onshore Stablecoin (USA₮)

https://x.com/paoloardoino/status/2016151121522204953

46:46 MegaETH Mainnet & Stress Test

https://x.com/megaeth/status/2016511667644064164

https://x.com/megaeth/status/2014376592378888503

https://www.growthepie.com

https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade

https://x.com/NamikMuduroglu/status/2016909695609364917

53:27 Uniswap Auctions

https://x.com/Uniswap/status/2016513436771922218

https://x.com/Benjamin918_/status/2016515467960016958

54:34 Robinhood & Talos

https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/01/29/robinhood-is-investing-in-crypto-trading-platform-talos-at-usd1-5-billion-valuation

57:15 Prediction Markets Expansion

https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2016593041532870677

https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1989005876611461429

57:42 OpenAI & Human Verification

https://x.com/forbes/status/2016622235902234794

1:00:24 Government Contractor Theft Story

https://x.com/zachxbt/status/2015430549846777964

https://x.com/zachxbt/status/2014685299025060154

1:03:11 Meme of the Week

https://x.com/0xcyp/status/2016556046697779495

1:04:01 Closing & Disclaimers

---

Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:

https://www.bankless.com/disclosures