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Blending Metrics and Observation for Fantasy Projections
This chapter explores the synergy between statistical metrics and live game observation for enhancing fantasy football projections. The speakers share their excitement for analytical insights gained from past experiences while gearing up for the new season.
Who's winning the NFL's passing yards title in 2024? Who'll lead the league in rushing TDs? Which team has the best odds to make or miss the playoffs? Today we're hunting over/under season win totals we like, talking about teams we think the market is most undervaluing, and digging overall into handicapping the NFL in 2024. Plus some review of Austin Ekeler's game film and a discussion about whether he makes for an interesting sleeper in fantasy football drafts. Guest: Chris Raybon of The Action Network.
NOTES:
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Follow Chris Raybon - @ChrisRaybon
Follow our show - @HarrisFootball
Get the 2024 Harris Football Almanac - https://www.harrisfootball.com/2024-player-profile-almanac
Become a patron - www.patreon.com/harrisfootball
Become a Person of the Book - https://www.amazon.com/Christopher-Harris/e/B007V3P4KK
Watch the YouTube channel - www.youtube.com/harrisfootball
Check out Denny Carter and me talking about writing and Tulsa - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=40bxU8dRrjo
Harris Football Yacht Club Dictionary - https://harrisfootball.github.io/dictionary.html
Join the Harris Football Subreddit - www.reddit.com/r/HarrisFootball
Handicapping The NFL In 2024:
* Team or Teams you feel strongest about going OVER their win total (Raybon = Panthers over 5.5 (-115); Harris = Cardinals over 6.5 (-150))
* Team or Teams you feel strongest about going UNDER their win total (Raybon = Giants under 6.5 (-135), Patriots under 4.5 (+125); Harris = Raiders under 6.5 (+110))
* Team or Teams you feel best bet to MAKE the playoffs (Raybon = Packers (-155); Harris = Bills (-175))
* Team or Teams you feel best bet to MISS the playoffs (Raybon = Chargers (-130); Harris = Bears (-110))
* Favorite bet or bets for a playoff team (can be to win Super Bowl, to make Super Bowl, to make Conference Final, etc.) (Raybon = Bengals to be #1 seed (+650); Harris = Bengals to make Super Bowl (+700))
* Favorite bet or bets on NFL Leading Passer (Raybon = C.J. Stroud (+600) and Joe Burrow (+850); Harris = Joe Burrow (+850))
* Favorite bet or bets on NFL Leading Rushing (Raybon = Jonathan Taylor (+600), Travis Etienne (+3000), Najee Harris (+6000); Harris = Saquon Barkley (+650))
* Favorite bet or bets on NFL Leading Receiver (Raybon = Ja'Marr Chase (+900), Justin Jefferson (+1000); Harris = D.J. Moore (+2200))
* Caleb Williams over/under 3500.5 pass yards (Raybon = over; Harris = over)
* Aaron Rodgers over/under 26.5 pass TDs (Raybon = under; Harris = under)
* Saquon Barkley over/under 1000.5 rush yards (Raybon = under; Harris = over)
* Derrick Henry over/under 10.5 rush TDs (Raybon = under; Harris = under)
* Cooper Kupp over/under 950.5 rec yards (Raybon = under; Harris = over)
* Stefon Diggs over/under 5.5 rec TDs (Raybon = over; Harris = over)
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