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Irina Rish–AGI, Scaling and Alignment
The Inside View
Doom Question
So imagine we, I don't know, in 2025 or 2030 we build AJI. What's your probability you think you may think, is it like 1%. Less than 1%. So, like, we then like 0.1%. Yeah, it's really gambling with numbers. But again, since the question is about beliefs and their old subjective... With all beliefs are subjective. Like by definition, if you ask me what I believe in, I'm only going to give you my subjective opinion. Well, you have a model that can predict things and your model is based on data and evidence. And my current model puts much higher probability of risk on other factors. They're much more
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