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Do You Believe the Propaganda?
I think Putin believes to the degree that he believes anything. I do believe that he thinks of himself as a bulwark for Christendom against the degeneration of the West. Solzhenitsyn thought Russians would have to return to incremental development of Orthodox Christianity in order to escape from communist trap. Now you could say, yeah, but the Orthodox Church has just been co-opted by the state. And there's some evidence for that.