From the New World cover image

Erik Torenberg: Upstream of the Revolution

From the New World

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The Importance of Base Rates in Motivation

"I think I just believe in base rates too much. Like, like, here's the case for it," he says. "If you think that government is on average bad, then you know that you're playing a defensive game." His goal with machine learning policy thinks tank is to celebrate if no AI regulation happens in next five years.

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