4min chapter

Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry cover image

[REPLAY] James Aitken – Macro Strategist Extraordinaire (Capital Allocators, EP.58)

Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry

CHAPTER

The Disconnect Between the US Economy and the Fed

Global PMIs are rolling over, but the reason they're declining a bit is because of capacity constraints. This has been the first occasion since 1964 when a US economy, perilously close to full employment, has embarked on tax cuts. I find that difficult to reconcile with commentary that continues to come from global corporations about order books and everything else. And my sense is subject to revision that we're looking at late cycle asset price valuations, but shockingly the US economy might be mid cycle.

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