Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez cover image

David Dredge On Defining Risk, Profiting from Extreme Moves, and Convexity

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

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The 60-Four Portfolio Model

The 60 forty model is te the real world application of the problem with non ergotic compounding and losses. The key to compounding is how you perform in the two per centile tales, i the ten worst months in in a forty year s and p period. And the ten best months out of 480 months contribute almost all of the compounding that a long term compounded returns. How much leverage do you have to put into risk parody on the way down in rates? How much reliance do you have in the ongoing central bank function to generate negative correlation between bonds and equities when it didn't exist prior to allan greenspan's policy change? What are your thoughts on alpa and

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