189: The Podcast Election, Betting Markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) & Hollywood’s AI Play
Not Investment Advice
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Betting on Politics: A Historical Perspective
This chapter explores the evolution of prediction markets in U.S. elections, focusing on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. It contrasts historical betting practices with contemporary polling methodologies, examining the accuracy and challenges faced by pollsters, particularly regarding Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. The discussion also reflects on the shifting landscape of political predictions and the influence of regulatory changes on betting activities.
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