Three: Alexander Berger on improving global health and wellbeing in clear and direct ways
Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours
Is the World Predictable?
In expectation, across these two word views, you have a positive influence. I think the way that this wouldn't work is if there was a third, equally likely possibility, where when you do things, you're likely to make them negative and likely t make them worse. That seets like a very open question. And so i don't want to be sodiflationary about it, that people walk away in or like, wel, nobody shold be long tommist. But i think that the uncertainty that we have about this is like, in some sense deeper and lik, o more like cluster thinkinge such that doson will often sort of gesture towards those claims.
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