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Why We Fear Change with Jason Feifer

Yap City

00:00

How Do You Identify a Super Forecaster?

A test by Warren Hatch, the CEO of a company called Good Judgment, shows that most people are overconfident. The point is to show how overconfident you and I are. We were both embarrassed by how we did not know the answer to this question. And yet, when provided an opportunity to give a range, we went really narrow. That inhibits our ability to make rational decisions.

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