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Predicting the Future ft. Stephen Grugett

The New Liberal Podcast

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The Beauty of Prediction Markets

One of our users created a market on will a FOIA request reveal that Colshe was primarily responsible for the CFTC's decision to shut down predicted. And that market is currently trading at 39%. Like all good conspiracies, still kind of uncertain. But I think on most things, they've got enough liquidity to be like directionally accurate. You know, if other people can duplicate it, the market can correct. So that's why if you have a kids, if you have an strategy that beats the stock market, don't tell anyone.

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