371: Maria Konnikova | Pulling Off the Biggest Bluff
The Jordan Harbinger Show
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Experiences vs. Statistics: The Human Judgment Dilemma
This chapter explores the experience-expectation gap, illustrating how personal experiences often overshadow statistical data in shaping human behavior and perception of risk. Through examples like ancestral reactions to dangers and the varying responses to disasters, the discussion emphasizes the impact of experiential learning over theoretical understanding. The conversation further examines cognitive biases in decision-making, particularly in negotiations, contrasting the subjective nature of hiring in academia with the meritocratic environment of poker.
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