The Probability of Thiolacine Surviving in the Wild

The thiolacine has been called the healthiest extinct animal you will ever see. In 2021, a mammal ecologist named Barry Brooke at the University of Tasmania published a pre-print of a study they had done. Their conclusion was that thiolacines likely survived long after 1936. Even now, over 15 years later, their charts show between a 10 and 20% chance of thiolacined surviving in the wild. That's a lot better chance than you'd get for most cryptids.