#2 - David Spiegelhalter on risk, stats and improving understanding of science
80,000 Hours Podcast
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Why We Shouldn't Discount Health
We make all risk and une risk is whents a very well defined problem with short term issues. When we're dealing with deeper uncertainty, when really are not even sure what the options are of how our lives might develop, then it's very difficult to take formal approach. So i wouldn't try to say, o, we should be able to do all this mathematically at all. However, the basics, o qualitis, of ideas of thinking through a rational decision are still very valuable. And otherwise, and you will may me to think on on broader strategies for making decisions in the face of what we call deeper uncertainty.
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