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Emerging Markets: Diversifying Asset or a Reverse Lottery? (EP.191)

The Rational Reminder Podcast

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Is There a Left Tail Event in Emerging Markets?

From 19 60 to now, emerging markets did out perform develop markets because that extreme left tail didn't show up. I looked at 25 year rolling periods from 19 hundred to 20 20, and emerging markets have beaten developed markets forty two % of the time. Factor premiums in emerging markets do seem to have a multifactor structure of expected returns. That's something that you can take advantage of there, just as you can with anywhere else.

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