The Bridge with Peter Mansbridge cover image

SMT -- WILL THE NEW COVID VACCINE BE OVERWHELMED BY THE CAMPAIGN AGAINST IT?

The Bridge with Peter Mansbridge

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On Line Poles Are Not Really Random Samples

margin of error is a notation that started to be required in the research community about ten years ago. On line poles are not considered truly random samples and cannot be assigned a margin of error. Polling could be more reliable, but only if we believed that everybody who has a phone would be willing to take the call. There's lots of other advantages to on line polling these days in terms of speed and cost effectiveness or that sort of thing. We know that results from on line poles can be extraordinarily accurate. They can sometimes miss some outcomes like morrow when you will take a vaccine? But one really larce solution for this election was never found.

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