Externality Is a Bigger Thing Than Forecasting

Externality is that much bigger of a topic, right? And it's an exponentially bigger topic. So let's just take small cases and then look at what happened when you put that on an exponential curve. We're mostly only going to forecast within domains that we already know a lot. But as we're getting into exponential technology, where there are faster rates of change, more complicated, more complex systems, etc., then there's more stuff that's going to happen that we don't forecast well. It used to be that whatever happened in a microwave wasn't going to affect the biosphere or human civilization writ large,. Because stone tools just don't have as big a consequence as AI