Drivers of Recent Employment Weakness

In this episode, we discuss the market outlook and the economic cycle through Michael’s HOPE framework. We outline the four pillars—Housing, Orders, Profits, and Employment—and examine current themes, including an “E-shaped” economy. The conversation explores leading indicators that may signal improvement in 2026, trends in the housing market, and the broader impact of employment dynamics on growth. Michael remains optimistic about a gradual economic recovery and a steady improvement across key sectors in the coming years.

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