Astral Codex Ten Podcast cover image

Prediction Market FAQ

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

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Get a Free $1 Million Quick With No Downside and an Evil Rich Person's Expense

If you are an evil rich person reading this FAQ, then it will definitely work for you. The more often people use prediction markets, the easier it should be to detect strategies like these. Super forecasting tournaments have done equally well or even slightly better. I think of super forecasting as part of a revolution in forecasting technology.

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