3min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

The “Everything Risk” Is Here | Ed Harrison

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

The Fed's Position on Inflation

How tight do financial conditions have to get in order for the Federal Reserve to be successful? It's pretty clear that 4.5% high yield spread, what we have now is not going to do it. Are we looking at 6% 7% likewise on the S&P? What's that roughly? A 20% selloff? Is that going to be sufficient? Or do we need to go lower? Yeah, it's hard to say. I think in terms of what the Fed is saying, it's interesting.

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