The Transitory Nature of Inflation

This is unprecedented, this chart goes all the way back to 1998. We've never seen this kind of swing at all, not even close. This is what I mean when I talk about transitory. Everything is coming down. A lot of people worried about recession. But if you look at the area under the curve in 2020 and 2021, we have a lot to make up.

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Hosts: Ansel Lindner and Christian Keroles

Fed Watch is a macro podcast with a clear contrarian thesis of a deflationary breakdown of the financial system leading to Bitcoin adoption. We question narratives and schools of thought and try to form new understanding. In each episode we use current events to question mainstream and bitcoin narratives across the globe, with an emphasis on central banks and currencies.

Find all charts and links at bitcoinandmarkets.com/fed141

In this episode, we discuss the bitcoin price and a few macro charts up front. I always try to keep our viewers and listeners ahead of other macro sources. For example, this week, we report on the diving 4-week Treasury bill. Something is going on behind the scenes in the market causing this major move.

Other charts we look at are the dollar $DXY on a longer time frame, oil’s reaction to the OPEC+ cut, and total deposits at commercial banks in the US. For all these charts go to the post on bitcoinandmarkets.com.

The main part of the show today is on the testimony of SEC chairman Gary Gensler in front of the Senate Finance Committee. We watched a couple clips that made their way around the internet this week. The attitude of the questions were very popular with crypto bros, but we could see through this attempt at theater. Gensler didn’t seem surprised or rattled in the least.

Lastly, we cover the speech by Christine Lagarde about the fragmentation of the global order. We had to cover it in haste at the end of the show, but I think we covered all the main points. She confirms my narrative that the end of the global order is upon us. However, she refuses to mention the elephants in the room. She doesn’t mention “credit”, “debt” or “deflation” once. She does say “gold” but also avoids the term “bitcoin” in favor of “digital currencies”.

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