11min chapter

Stimulus - Learn Tools to Crush It in Your Medical Career cover image

87. Availability Bias | Skewed risk assessments from a pervasive cognitive distortion

Stimulus - Learn Tools to Crush It in Your Medical Career

CHAPTER

Struggling with Probabilities and Low Numbers

This chapter explores how the human brain struggles with understanding probabilities, particularly when comparing low probabilities, using examples such as winning the lottery and the incidence of aortic dissection. It discusses the challenges and errors that can arise when making decisions based on low numbers, and advocates for using math and calibration for more informed decision-making.

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