4min chapter

The Macro Trading Floor cover image

Natural Gas Prices Plunge, But For How Long?

The Macro Trading Floor

CHAPTER

Is the 10 Year, Three Month Spread Indicating a Recession?

An inverted yield curve indicates of a recession. When the 10 minus two year spread inverts, it usually delivers a decently strong signal for recessions with a hybrid hit rate show. It's very rare that we get a solid bottom in markets until after the actual recession is happening,. And I wouldn't bet that we are already in a recession. We're probably close, but we are not in the recession yet.

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