Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours cover image

Seven: Prof Tetlock on why accurate forecasting matters for everything, and how you can do it better

Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours

CHAPTER

Is the World Like Fallowing, Like Mechanistic Laws?

i think when nomers and astrophysicists tell me that the sun is going to go supernn in three or four billion years, i think they're probably right. There's so much randomness inwhat decisions people makeand yett all like a spirals out diid. If we are to think of one person in the twentieth century who seemed to do things that were really out of the ordinary, who would it be? I mean, sometimes transhold like te there might be like it worth having a cracker.

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