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Contrarian Signals in Investment Strategy
This chapter explores the importance of a contrarian approach to investment analysis and the value of simplicity in strategy. It emphasizes using a probabilistic mindset and scenario analysis to evaluate investments effectively, particularly in areas like gold, while focusing on risk assessment over speculative price assumptions.
In today's episode, Kyle Grieve chats with Andrew Martin about how he utilized his PhD in investing, the typical traits Andrew looks for in great investments, valuable physics-related mental models to improve your thinking processes, why Andrew is attracted to smallcap stocks, how Andrew utilizes his inflection point strategy to beat the market, how he evolved from an asset-based investor to where he is today, how to think about technological disruption in low-tech industries and much more!
Andrew Martin is the CEO of Fairlight Capital. Andrew has decades of experience working for large global insurance companies and asset managers managing billions of dollars. He has worked with companies such as Accenture and AIG. Andrew graduated with a B.Sc. in Theoretical Physics from the University of York and a doctorate in Astrophysics from the University of Oxford.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
00:00 - Intro
05:06 - The physical cue that Andrew looks out for to help him subconsciously identify fantastic investing opportunities.
The traits that Andrew searches for in potential investments.
10:53 - How to combat biases in investing to avoid making big mistakes.
12:56 - How to utilize a natural contrarian nature to your advantage in investing.
16:59 - A valuable earthquake mental model to help you find hidden fundamentals that the market can overlook.
28:09 - Why Andrew settled on investing in small-caps.
33:24 - Why Andrew has a few concentrated positions while maintaining a few more minor positions.
38:35 - Andrew's evolution from an asset-based value investor to a growth at a reasonable price investor.
01:02:04 - How technology is disrupting low-tech industries and rapidly transforming business models.
And so much more!
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
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