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Expectations Investing with Michael Mauboussin
Motley Fool Money
How Many Companies Have Ever Grown by 30 % Compound Annually?
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The application of base rates is all over the map. Some things it's relatively straightforward to do. Other situations are unusual, and the distributions look realy kind of funky. But i would just say, broadly speaking, it's a vastly under utilized framework versus a misused framework. And so what you can then say is, i'm on look at a company, and i'm to say, the market thinks it's going to grow x %. I men to say, i mon to look at the base rates of companies of this size or in this industry,. What the distribution of growth rates has been.
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