Ukraine Can't Lose, but There's a Negotiated Solution

I think it would be politically damaging if what came out could not be spun as an outright victory for Ukraine. Europe is more terrified of going to war with Russia than anything else and will not do anything to risk that, including giving Ukraine the arms that it needs to actually win. They'll just give them enough to make sure it doesn't lose. And we'll end up with Donbass and the Landbridge and Crimea remain, quote unquote, occupied by Russia. It'll be a frozen conflict and it'll turn into another North Cyprus.