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7min chapter
#552: How Bitcoin Could Predict The Next Global Conflict with James Pierog
TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast
Exploring Bitcoin Prediction Markets
This chapter investigates the dynamics of Bitcoin prediction markets in comparison to platforms like Polymarket, highlighting how bets in satoshis provide insights into probabilities. It also addresses the challenges of the Oracle problem, consensus in market outcomes, and the tension between trust in decentralized systems and the need for a reliable operational framework.
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