
Ethan Ilzetzki on the International Implications of Fed Policy, Business Cycle Theory, and the UK Crisis
Macro Musings with David Beckworth
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Is the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level a Good Way to Explain the Inflation Surge?
Ethan Zuckerman: I was fortunate enough to discuss a really interesting paper by Francesco Bianchi and Leonardo Malosi. They argue that this theory has a lot of explanatory power to explain the inflation surge beginning in 2021 and continuing into 2022. What does the fiscal theory of the price level say? It says, you know, it's all dollar-denominated government liabilities that affect the price level. This is again coming back to the beginning of our discussion. bond markets are concerned that the US government will have no way to finance its obligations without inflating away its debt.
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