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John Porter: Here Is How The Next 6 Months Will Look

The Macro Trading Floor

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Inflation and Supply Constraints

Is this a cyclical episode of inflation that will look back at and go back to the so-called old normal or is this more a secular or structural increase? John MacIntosh: I would tend to compare these periods to some in the past and look at the late 60s as one of the potential parallels to be drawn in the 70s. He says if margins actually remain the same they just don't increase at this very high level and high probability they're going to come down.MacIntosh: If oil doesn't move will say it stays at 90 for all next year base effects core CPI will go down significantly but wages are up at 5.5% which are definitely too

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