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Episode 403: Visionary Histories

Historically Thinking

CHAPTER

Envisioning Futures Through History

This chapter explores the idea of history as a tool for questioning and predicting future possibilities rather than just recalling facts. It discusses the method of scenario planning and its historical roots, emphasizing how understanding past complex systems can help anticipate future behaviors. The speakers illustrate this through the concept of the butterfly effect, showing how minor changes can lead to significant outcomes, while also cautioning against neglecting historical context in analysis.

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