2min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

What Are We Going to Do About Partisan Pollsters?

Polls are like forecasts, you know what I mean? They're like little models almost. And so it's kind of like almost a version of like efficient market hypothesis. There will not be the same market for those polls going forward. It would be absurd to say we trusted the process after 2016, 2020, when you had fairly strong polling errors in the opposite direction.

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