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A 2023 Global Macro Outlook | Joseph Wang & George Goncalves

Supply Shock

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Is There a Prediction of a Presidential Recession?

Bond yields are correcting back to about three and a half, but the upward trend is still intact. The main fundamental drivers from my perspective are just one, this supply, not just in the US, but in the Eurozone as well. I think we have at least one more on-market sell-off before it's all said and done,. But by that happening and then having a recession very close nearby, that will cap how high rates can ultimately go.

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