Troubleshooting Agile cover image

Lies, predictions, experiments, and bets

Troubleshooting Agile

00:00

What's Your Level of Confidence?

When we make predictions, we want to have a level of confidence that we express. And I'm very influenced in this discussion about predictions by my exposure to the rationalist community and the work of Philip Teddlock. Even the things that we're most certain about, that just means that we have a high degree of confidence in our prediction. It does not mean that the prediction is 100%.

Transcript
Play full episode

The AI-powered Podcast Player

Save insights by tapping your headphones, chat with episodes, discover the best highlights - and more!
App store bannerPlay store banner
Get the app