6min chapter

FICC Focus cover image

Fed Easing Cycles and Unsustainable Fiscal Policy: Macro Matters

FICC Focus

CHAPTER

Elections and Treasury Market Dynamics

This chapter examines the potential impact of the upcoming U.S. elections and fiscal policy on the treasury market, exploring scenarios from a Republican sweep to a divided government. It also discusses the unusual relationship between long-term interest rates and Fed rate cuts while analyzing the implications of rising debt and deficits in the current economic cycle.

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