Overconfidence is a way of shielding against uncomfortable facts that the world is just driven by probability and there's no black and white certainties. We are forever bound to be overestimating our abilities, underestimating the role of luck and chance in our lives. It's important to stay humble and open minded to recognize success and failure are often the result of a complex interplay of factors including luck, skill, circumstance. By doing that, will improve our decision making, increase our chances and achieving long-term success and happiness.

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