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Episode 1607 Scott Adams: Most of the News is Good Today. Hello Golden Age

Real Coffee with Scott Adams

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The Leaders Talk in Certitude, Experts Talk in Probability

Leaders talk in certainty, whereas experts can have the comfort of talking in probability. So your scientists could say, well, we're 90 % sure that this is a good path. But if your leader said 90%. then people would say, ten per cents a lot. I'm not going to go that direction. It looks like it did to me, but i'm open to the possibility that just looking at it doesn't really tell you much. That's why you have her anto my control trials. You can easily be fooled. And i do think that it's bguous enough that i would give the leaders at least a little bit of credit for having tried. Cause we

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